There’s a narrative being built by mainstream media, particular Fox News, that Marco Rubio has a chance of winning the GOP nomination. Everyone “in the know” realizes that this is beyond a longshot. For all intents and purposes based upon the primary and caucus schedule, it would take an absolute miracle for that to happen.
Why, then, would so many be pushing this narrative? They have one hope to prevent Donald Trump or Ted Cruz from securing the nomination: a brokered convention. If the Republican Establishment can prop up Rubio and take down Cruz, they believe that they can prevent Trump from having enough delegates going into the Republican National Convention to contest and broker a Rubio nomination.
That’s the strategy. Seriously. As destructive as it would be to the Republican party (and therefore the nation), they would rather burn this election cycle down and rebuild with a reinvigorated notion of “told you so” rather than allow Trump or Cruz to win the nomination. Both candidates represent a mandate against the Establishment. The last time that happened was with Ronald Reagan and they just can’t afford the power loss if another Reagan type like Cruz were to win the White House.
This is not a conspiracy theory. It’s a demonstrable conspiracy with the RNC holding the strings over their mainstream media puppets to make it happen.
— IMHOPodcast (@IMHOPod) February 11, 2016
They realize that Rubio cannot accumulate the delegates required to win the nomination outright. It’s practically a mathematical impossibility with the primary schedule showing Rubio having to go through the first 15 primaries and caucuses with a chance of winning two at the most. There hasn’t been a nominee make it through four primaries and caucuses without a win. Rubio is going to be 0-4 going into the “SEC Primary” on March 1 and there’s a chance he won’t win any of those, either. That would put him at 0-15.
Rubio cannot outright win the nomination. Trump or Cruz can. The schedule favors Cruz who is the last person the Establishment wants to win the nomination, but they aren’t crazy about Trump winning it, either. This is a hail mary, a last ditch strategy to try to salvage this debacle of an election cycle for the Establishment.
Their only hope is to do what they’re attempting to do: destroy Ted Cruz. They realize that his path to the nomination is the only realistic way to stop Trump altogether. They also realize that Trump has enough haters that if voters are forced to chose between Cruz or Trump, they’ll be more likely to select Cruz. If they can prevent anti-Trump voters from coalescing around Cruz, they have their only path to nominating Rubio through a brokered convention. It is very unlikely, but it’s an easier path than trying to get Rubio to win outright.
This is a dangerous game that the Republican Establishment and mainstream media are playing. They’ll do anything to stop Cruz even if it means a Trump nomination. They are trying to suspend disbelief in Rubio’s chances long enough to let chaos destroy the party from the inside. If voters allow themselves to be manipulated, we will either see a Trump nomination or a destructive brokered convention.